The BetQL model has been on an absolute heater in all sports over the past week, but it has been killing NBA. We have a small two-game slate to look at on a tremendous Thursday, so let’s find some value where we can.
The model has gone 15-0-1 (100% win) on four-star and higher NBA bets of $100 in the past three days, so be sure to see what it is on tonight! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every pick.
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NBA Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Thursday
Warriors at Magic Prediction
The Golden State Warriors haven’t impressed me at all to begin the season. Steph Curry and this offense have been cooking, but they can’t stop anyone defensively. It’s been embarrassing for a Steve Kerr-coached team, as they are second-worst in the NBA in points allowed. They have to correct that if they want to be taken as serious title contenders again after winning it all last season.
We all knew the Magic were going to be bad this season. It was no secret. They have been horrendous, however, especially on offense. They are scoring in the bottom three in the league, and they struggle mightily to get the ball to the basket. On defense, they actually have been pretty sound for a young team, but they need to be able to score more to win games, and they simply haven’t done that.
PICK: Give me the Warriors against the spread. Yes, they haven’t been great to start the year, but Orlando is a whole other form of bad.
Nuggets at Thunder Prediction
I have been thoroughly impressed with the Thunder this season so far. They have exceeded expectations to start the year, and it’s possible they will be a competitive team for most of the season. Their defense has been great, almost a top-10 unit in the NBA, allowing just 111 points per game. Offensively, they need some work, but it hasn’t been awful. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a superstar, and Josh Giddey is a young and talented player.
The Nuggets have given me the exact opposite impression. They have been pretty bad on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 117 points per game, and look lost at some points in the game. The offense hasn’t been bad, but a team with this much talent should be doing better than they are. Nikola Jokic can only do so much, and his teammates have to step up to the plate around him and deliver. This was a popular team to begin the season, and they have disappointed so far.
PICK: Give me the Thunder ATS. No reason for me to lay that many points with the Nuggets on the road against what I think have been the better team so far.