The 2022 NFL season continues to surge forward, and we now enter the Week 9 slate with a plethora of teams on bye. With fewer games and countless injuries, finding betting value on individual matchups can be difficult. But fear not because the prop market always has fun and potentially lucrative options, as we’ll highlight with our favorite BetMGM player props, over/unders, and assorted team prop bets from the Week 9 slate.
Player props, game props, and same-game parlays have become massively popular in recent years. Props are not only more fun to follow while watching a game, but they also seem to produce fewer “bad beats” than standard moneyline, spread, and over/under bets.
Every Thursday, we scour BetMGM to pinpoint one potentially lucrative prop for each NFL game of the upcoming slate. It could be a player or team prop that we find the most interesting, most promising, or both. These prop wagers can involve offense, defense, special teams, or general scoring, but they all offer bettors distinct value based on stats and trends.
Let’s check out our favorite Week 9 props for every game and make some money in what should be another fun week of NFL action.
MORE WEEK 9 NFL BETTING: Odds, lines, spreads | Best bets
Best NFL prop bets for every Week 9 game
All prop bets are from BetMGM.
Eagles at Texans: Miles Sanders to score and Eagles to win (+110)
BetMGM features some cool two-way props, some of which combine player and game props. In this case, we’re betting that two things will both occur: the 7-0 Eagles beating the 1-5-1 Texans and Sanders reaching the end zone. We love our chances here and think it’s the best plus-odds prop on the MGM prop board for Thursday Night Football. The Texans have surrendered 10 rushing TDs this season, fourth-most in the NFL. Sanders has scored five times, including once in each of the past two weeks. With how effortlessly Jalen Hurts moves up and down the field and how dominant A.J. Brown has been as a downfield target, we predict at least a few goal-line handoffs.
MORE EAGLES-TEXANS: Betting Preview | Same Game Parlay
Falcons vs. Chargers: Marcus Mariota OVER 1.5 passing TDs (+185)
It’s remarkable to us that Justin Herbert’s OVER on this same prop is -190 while Mariota is +185. Mariota has been better than Herbert, his offense as a whole has been more impressive, and the Falcons have just as many wins as the Chargers (four)! Not to mention, Herbert will likely be without both Keenan Allen (hamstring) and Mike Williams (ankle), and L.A.’s defense will be without edge rusher Joey Bosa (hip) and cornerback J.C. Jackson (knee). Mariota has thrown multiple TDs in two of Atlanta’s past three games, so pound this OVER and root for the Dirty Bird upset (yes, I have them upsetting the Bolts).
BETTING PREVIEW: Falcons vs. Chargers
Dolphins at Bears: Jason Sanders OVER 7.5 points (-110)
I’d love to bet on Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, or Jaylen Waddle here, but all their odds are juiced up to the max. Thus, I’ll bet on the sure-footed Sanders tallying eight or more points. Chicago’s defense has been one of the more underrated units in the NFL this season, surrendering 0.9 passing TDs per game (third fewest) and allowing just one rushing TD per home game. Miami always moves the ball between the 20s, but it doesn’t always get into the end zone, as we saw against Minnesota and Pittsburgh in Weeks 6 and 7. Sanders has hit 11-of-11 field goals from under 50 yards — all we need is two field goals and two PATs!
WEEK 9 NFL PICKS: Against the Spread | Moneyline
Bengals vs. Panthers: Joe Burrow OVER 1.5 passing TDs (-210)
I hate the vig here, but I like Joey B’s chances of netting two passing TDs like Marcus Mariota and two other QBs have done against the Panthers over the past five weeks. Burrow has multiple TDs in six-of-eight games this season and in each of the past three weeks. He also has multiple TDs in his past seven home starts. Ja’Marr Chase’s hip injury doesn’t help, but Cincy still has Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Hayden Hurst to go with some solid pass-catching RBs. Book Joey Brr.
DFS WEEK 9: DraftKings | Stacks | TNF | Sleepers & Values
Lions vs. Packers: Jared Goff OVER 0.5 interceptions thrown (-125)
We almost went with Aaron Rodgers OVER 1.5 pass TDs (-185), but we hate the value at those odds. Thus, we’re going with Goff to toss the ball away at least once. Look, it’s a divisional matchup against a Packers squad that just got smacked around by the AFC East-leading Bills. Detroit just traded away stud tight end T.J. Hockenson to fellow NFC North squad Minnesota, a head-scratching move if we’ve ever seen one. Amon-Ra St. Brown will see plenty of targets and plenty of coverage from stud cornerback Jaire Alexander, which boosts our chances of seeing a pick. Goff has thrown five interceptions over the past five weeks, and Green Bay picked off MVP favorite Josh Allen twice in Week 8 and Commanders QB Taylor Heinicke once in Week 7. Pick the pick prop.
WEEK 9 NFL PICKS ADVICE: Pick ’em & Survivor Pools
Patriots vs. Colts: Patriots win and total points UNDER 31.5 (+425)
The player props are garbage in this one, mostly due to Jonathan Taylor’s health and the volatile nature of Sam Ehlinger and Mac Jones as NFL quarterbacks. This seems like a classic Bill Belichick home game in which New England pulls out the 13-6 victory. Maybe it won’t be that low scoring, but do you really expect an explosion of offense from either side? Both these squads rely on defense and the running game, and both have banged-up skill players. Getting +425 for a low-scoring Pats home win against an inexperienced QB is as good as it gets.
Bills at Jets: Josh Allen UNDER 0.5 interceptions thrown (-125)
Allen’s over/under for passing TDs sits at 2.5 (+155), which is tempting with the plus-odds but too risky. I much prefer his odds of not throwing a pick, as I can imagine he and offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey will be working on the QB reducing the number of contested attempts in games that Buffalo completely controls. Allen threw two second-half interceptions against Green Bay last week, forcing throws despite the Bills leading 27-10. Don’t expect similar blunders this week.
Vikings at Commanders: Vikings win and points total OVER 31.5 (-120)
I fully expect this game to be a passing shootout between Kirk Cousins and his former squad, and Taylor Heinicke has been good enough to at least somewhat keep up. Minnesota just got infused with stud tight end T.J. Hockenson after a surprise deadline deal, and Terry McLaurin is loving life in the post-Wentz Washington world. In most shootouts, we’ll take the side that has Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook.
Raiders at Jaguars: Derek Carr OVER 1.5 passing TDs (+100)
We hate to back Carr after the implosion he suffered against the Saints last weekend, but plus odds are sometimes too good to pass up. The Jags have allowed 10 passing TDs this season and surrendered 26 points per game over the past three weeks. Davante Adams might pull down two TDs himself (side note: I also like Daniel Carlson’s OVER 7.5 kicking points at +105).
Seahawks at Cardinals: Geno Smith UNDER 250.5 passing yards (-115)
Smith has enjoyed a resurgent season, perhaps his best-ever, but we think the ride could come to an end soon. He has been held to 212 or fewer passing yards in each of the past three weeks, and the Cardinals held him to 197 yards and no TD passes in Seattle back in Week 6. Arizona’s defense has been low-key good this season and just held Kirk Cousins and the high-flying Vikings to 208 total passing yards. Hit the UNDER in this divisional clash!
Buccaneers vs. Rams: Bucs win and total score OVER 31.5 (+100)
It’s not that I believe in Tom Brady — it’s just that I believe in Matthew Stafford on the road much, much less. Cooper Kupp (ankle) is banged up, and L.A. has no running game whatsoever. The Rams defense is struggling, and the Bucs are in must-win mode at home. Tampa has enough playmakers on both sides of the ball to win this game, but I don’t expect it to be pretty or low scoring.
Chiefs vs. Titans: Chiefs win and total score OVER 43.5 (+105)
I wrote earlier this week about how much Kansas City has owned Tennessee since the beginning of the Patrick Mahomes era (6-2). That said, the Titans somehow have the same current record as the Chiefs (5-2) despite a deflated passing game and an inconsistent young secondary getting rolled on the regular. I’m going with the heavy favorites stomping an inferior AFC opponent and scoring a boatload of points in the process.
Ravens at Saints: Ravens +3.5 and total score OVER 40.5 points (-125)
Jackson has dropped off considerably over the past month, mostly due to his top weapons all getting banged up (JK Dobbins, Mark Andrews, and Rashod Bateman, to name a few). Baltimore still remains a tier above New Orleans, a franchise that’s also been banged up all season. We’re going with an alternate spread and over/under combo here, giving L-Jax and company a field-goal cushion. That’s called insurance! I love Baltimore’s chances of winning — or losing by three or fewer — and helping to get the total score above 40 points. The Ravens beat Tampa Bay, a much better defensive team than New Orleans, 27-22 on Thursday Night Football in Week 8. With extra rest and a John Harbaugh/Greg Roman game plan, Baltimore should outduel an Andy Dalton-led squad.
